Wednesday, January 02, 2008

YE NEOCOLONIALISTS


Dems poised to pillage Iraq
by Matt Taibbi, The Beast





















There is a growing number of people out there who believe the Reid-Pelosi Iraq war supplemental is a gigantic crock of shit, and who think the Democratic Party leadership should now officially be labeled conspirators in the war effort. I've even seen it suggested that Reid and Pelosi should now be sent official "certificates of war ownership," to formally put them in a club with Bush, Cheney, Richard Perle and the rest of the actual war authors.

The growing tension between the real antiwar movement and the Democratic Party was reflected in a long article over the weekend in the New York Times. "Antiwar Groups Use New Clout to Influence Democrats." The piece that described how an umbrella group of antiwar activists called Americans Against the Escalation in Iraq was ready to drop the public relations hammer on the Dems, should they cave too easily in their negotiations with the president.

The thinking goes something like this: the Democrats, who are mostly the same people who voted for the war in the first place, don't really want to end it. They do, however, want to take political advantage of antiwar sentiment. So they will appear to be against the conflict but set things up in such a way that their "efforts" to end the war will fall just slightly short, like a fourth-quarter pass thrown by a point-shaving quarterback.

I was squarely in that camp until recently, when it occurred to me to wonder; if Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi were to wake up one morning with innocent, uncorrupted brains and decide, really decide, to end the war in Iraq, how exactly would they do it? And the answer, I think we all have to admit, is: they would do it exactly the way they're doing it now.

Neither of these Democratic leaders, after all, are Huey Newton, or even Benjamin Spock. They are not going to get up on a table, shake a shoe in the direction of the White House, shout "Fuck you, pig!" and just turn off the money, consequences be damned. No, these are career bureaucrats, political herd animals who survive year after year by clinging for dear life to the concept of safety in numbers. They will watch the bushes with great big eyes to see what is rustling back there, and when exactly two-thirds of the herd decides to bolt, they all will -- not just the Democrats, but the Boehners and McConnells too, leaping over logs, tearing off big chunks of fur against the bark of trees, etc.

I can certainly see a scenario in which people like Reid and Pelosi would make a secret deal to compromise now and give Bush his money, in exchange for another bite at the apple later this year -- by which time a veto-overriding coalition of Democrats and "moderate" Republicans will have magically coalesced. The Republicans crossing the picket line later this summer will inevitably claim to have done so with heavy heart, out of principle and "concern for the safety of the troops," and yet at the same time there will mysteriously appear a new raft of appropriations calling for expensive dam and highway projects in certain districts. That tends to be the blueprint for how 67% of congress will catch up to 67% of the population on major issues like these.

So maybe Reid and Pelosi really are working the phones on this one, who knows. What I do know is this; there are elements of the Democratic-crafted Iraq supplemental that are not only severely regressive but would actually tend to encourage the continuation of the insurgency. Anyone who wants an example of why the areas in which the Democrats and Republicans are in agreement are more significant than the ones in which they differ need only look at the two parties nearly unanimous endorsement of the "Benchmarks" the Iraqi government must meet, according to the supplemental. The key passage reads as follows:

(2) whether the Government of Iraq is making substantial progress in meeting its commitment to pursue reconciliation initiatives, including a hydro-carbon law...

It is notable that the hydrocarbon law comes in first place in this clause, ahead of "legislation necessary for the conduct of provincial and local elections," reform of de-Baathification laws, amendments to the constitution and allocation of revenues for reconstruction projects. For whether or not it really was "all about oil" at the beginning of the war, the fate of the occupation really does hinge almost entirely upon oil initiatives now, as the continued presence of U.S. troops in the region may depend on whether or not the Iraqi government bites the bullet and decides to eat the proposed hydrocarbon law in question.

The law, endorsed here by the Democrats, is an unusually vicious piece of legislation, an open blueprint for colonial robbery of the Iraqi nation. It is worth pointing out that if you go back far enough in the history of this business, the law actually makes the U.S. an accomplice in the repression of Saddam Hussein, the very thing we claim to be rescuing the country from.

This has all been described at length by better reporters than myself, people like Michael Schwartz and Tom Engelhardt, but the genesis of the proposed law goes something like this:

During the Saddam years, the Iraqi government racked up massive debts as Hussein stole outright much of the country's oil revenues and built himself elaborate palaces packed with gold leafing and Balinese whores and whatever else assholes of that ilk use to furnish their garish pink mansions. Upon occupying the country, the United States agreed to forgive some of that debt in exchange for its acceptance of a "standard International Monetary Fund program," which among other things included an end to consumer price controls on food and fuel -- a move that, whatever one's feelings about government price controls may be, inarguably made it more difficult for a newly-impoverished, war-torn population to afford to eat.

Another condition was the liberalization of the economy, and the opening up of the oil industry to foreign interests. To recap: Saddam Hussein rips off Iraqi people, America "liberates" said people from Saddam, then bludgeons them with Saddam's debts until they hand over the keys to the oil industry. Nice deal, yes?

The proposed Hydrocarbon Law is a result of pressure from the American government on the Iraqis to draft an oil policy that would adhere to the IMF guidelines. It allows foreign companies to take advantage of Iraqi oil fields by allowing regions to pair up with foreigners using what are known as "production-sharing agreements" or PSAs, which guarantee investing companies large shares of the profits for decades into the future. The law also makes it impossible for the Iraqi state to regulate levels of oil production (seriously undermining OPEC), allows oil companies to repatriate profits, and would also allow companies to hire foreign workers to man facilities. Add all the measures up and the Hydrocarbon law not only takes control of the oil industry away from the Iraqi state, but virtually guarantees that the state will profit very little from future oil exploitation.

Now, I live in America and have been known to drive a car occasionally and I also understand something else -- when mighty industrial countries need oil or anything else, they're going to take it. They're also unlikely to acquiesce forever to the whims of an organization like OPEC out of mere morality and decency, when military power can change the equation. Anyone who's going to be shocked, shocked by this kind of shit had better be prepared to live in a tent and eat twigs and berries instead of African cocoa or Central American sugar or any of the millions of other products we basically steal from hungry, dark-skinned people around the world on a daily basis.

But I'll tell you what I can do without. I can do without having to listen to American journalists, as well as politicians on both sides of the aisle, bitch and moan about how the Iraqi government better start "shaping up" and "taking responsibility" and "showing progress" if they want the continued blessing of American military power. Virtually every major newspaper in the country and every hack in Washington has lumped all the "benchmarks" together, painting them as concrete signs that, if met, would mean the Iraqi government is showing "progress" or "good faith."

"President Bush will not support a war spending bill that punishes the Iraqi government for failing to meet benchmarks for progress," was how the AP put it.

"Among the mile markers that should be used to measure Iraqi progress is a finalized revenue-sharing agreement on current and future oil reserves," was the formulation of the Savannah Daily News.

Still other papers, like the Baltimore Sun, cast the supplemental as a means of exercising "tough love" with the lazy and ungrateful Iraqis, who to date have failed to show interest in governing their own country. "The talk around Congress," wrote the Sun, "was of putting together a bill with (probably nonbinding) benchmarks, designed to hold the feet of the Iraqi government to the fire -- or at least near the fire."

The title of the Sun editorial, humorously, was "Small steps" -- as if such a radical decision about what may turn out to be a fourth of the world's oil reserves is a "small step."

Of course, among politicians, it was the same bullshit. "And we now have to see... a good-faith effort on the part of the Iraqi government," said Maine's Olympia Snowe, "that they're prepared to do what it's going to require to achieve a political consensus." The recently "antiwar" Chuck Hagel concurred: "We're seen the Iraqi government miss benchmark after benchmark," he said. "You have to connect consequences to those in some way."

Nancy Pelosi, meanwhile, described the benchmarks as a means to "hold the Iraqi government accountable." As if their failure to pass the Oil law would make them "not accountable."

Moreover, let's just say this about the Democratic Party. They can wash their hands of this war as much as they want publicly, but their endorsement of this crude neocolonial exploitation plan makes them accomplices in the occupation, and further legitimizes the insurgency. It is hard to argue with the logic of armed resistance to U.S. forces in Iraq when both American parties, representing the vast majority of the American voting public, endorse the same draconian plan to rob the country's riches. This isn't a situation in which there's going to be a better deal down the road, after Bush gets thrown out of office. Looking at it from that point of view, peaceful cooperation with the Americans is therefore probably impossible for any patriotic Iraqi; the economic consequences are too severe.

(A side note: there's also an argument to be made that the smart play for the Iraqis is to cooperate now, and then tear up any agreement made with the Americans once they get their troops out. The instant our army leaves, any "laws" passed now under American pressure will be meaningless anyway. Yeah, sure, take all the oil you want... hey, do you want these bath towels, too? Oh, wait, you're leaving? You sure you can't stay? Etc.)

Moreover, this endorsement of these neoliberal "benchmarks" by the Democrats makes me believe a lot less in their "gradualist" approach to ending the war. If they viewed the war as much of the world did, as a murderous and profoundly immoral criminal enterprise, they would understand that morally, they really have no choice now but to refuse to send Bush even a dime more for this war. After all, it's impossible to justify on any level voting to give George Bush more money for more troops "in the short run" if you believe that the occupation is fundamentally evil and exploitative. But the Democrats clearly do not believe it is wrong. They don't even mind having a big hand in it. They just don't think it's going very well, and understand that in the long run, it's a non-starter politically.

And that, in the end, is about the best thing you can say about Democrats -- they are just barely smart enough to step out of a burning house. Well, maybe they are. Tune in next fall, for the next supplemental...

1 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Excellent article of yours.

I have followed what is happening in Iraq, with great interest, as a hobby, for three years. I am a registered Republican. I have to say, you are in general, quite correct about the nature of this war, and the large scale thievery taking place in Iraq.

However, I disagree with you, when you said, no Iraqi could cooperate with the American operation, because the economic consequences of this law were so severe.

Not true. "Severe" is a relative term. Even if, worst case scenario, the oil law goes through, ordinary Iraqis will get far more money than they ever did under Saddaam.

The insurgency really, is not so much about opposing the American occupation, although it is obviously about that, but what it really is about is that the Iraqi elite, so used to robbing and raping and stealing in their own country, are angry that someone else is coming in, and doing what they have done for decades, which is robbing raping and stealing. How dare the Americans!!! Acting just like the Iraqi elite!!! For shame!!!

So, there are no wonderful, morally pure, innocent, brown skinned people, on the other side, being exploited by the nasty white man. It's more complicated than that. It's nasty white men, cutting in on the turf of equally nasty brown skinned men, who were only too happy to steal from their own people, and repress and exploit them mercilessly.

The ordinary Iraqi will see an improvement in their own lives, in the next 10 years. That being said, the oil law is still exploitive. I agree with you, because, like you, I have high moral standards. Most people don't. So, what you say is quite true, from a morally objective point of view, and from a point of view of high moral standards. That being said, even though the oil law is 'exploitive' when judged by a high standard, that very fact of the oil law being exploitive is irrelevant.

Why? It's just that ordinary people everywhere judge things by comparison, not by high moral standards. The ordinary Iraqis will not judge the occupation and the economic consequences by some pie in the sky, morally perfect, liberal, politically correct fairness. They will compare things, instead, with the shit they have been through, under Saddam.

Also, most people aren't that smart, or moral, to judge things by the high standards you set up. They will judge things by, instead, questions like, how does my life now compare to the past, under Saddam? And that nasty bastard set the bar of decency and economic fairness so low, so great were the human rights abuses, and so great were the economic injustices under Saddam, that America and the new Iraqi government can't help but exceed that low bar, and do much better than Saddam, in how they treat ordinary Iraqi.

Also, what you fail to say is this: People can change their mind.

At one time, thirty years ago, 90% of oil resources were owned by private firms. Today, 80% of oil resources are owned by national governments. All the Iraqis have to do, once they get back on their feet, economically, in ten years, when things are peaceful, is hold a national referendum, asking the American Army to leave. Then, shortly, they can hold another referendum, nationalizing oil resources.

I suspect that, in terms of economic development, the oil law is the best thing that could happen to Iraq, in the short term, meaning the next 10-15 years. Iraqis do not have the technical expertise to modernize and develop their oil resources. America does, and is running out of oil. America could develop that industry, in five years, what Iraqis would have trouble doing, in fifty. So I think letting in foreign oil companies will be the best thing that could ever happen to Iraq.

However, if I were an Iraqi politician, I would co-operate with the Americans for ten years, get very rich, develop my country and it's resources, and then nationalize the whole thing, to get a bigger cut of things. Strategically, in terms of economic development, and ensuring security, which is necessary for development, that approach would be much much smarter that just immediately kicking out the Americans.

Just immediately kicking out the Americans, from an Iraqi point of view, would be strategically very, very dumb. It would destabilize the security of the country, leading to a religious war, where everyone would suffer worse things than have already happened.

It would set back economic development by 10-20 years. Developing the natural resources of Iraq is an enormous job. Iraq is not capable of doing it. It's better to let foreigners do it, and get rich, while watching Americans do all the work, like they do in much of the middle eastern oil-rich countries.

And who knows. In a couple of decades, maybe the world will have a different energy supply, and the oil will be worthless. Then, Iraq gets nothing. I do scientific research into alternative energy sources, and I can tell you, there is more research presently going on, into alternative energy, to help get American off oil, than you'd believe. Most of it is kept out of the papers. Tens of billions are being spent on research, and I wouldn't be surprised if cheap, alternative energy sources were found in the next decade or two, which would make the oil in Iraq worthless.

Another thing you fail to emphasize is the role of Iraqi leadership in all this. The insurgency is kept going by the failed leaders, in the region. Whatever the problems, and exploitations in the past, I believe political leaders in Iraq are ultimately responsible for what happens in Iraq.

I have studied the history of what we now call Iraq. It was a squabbling, exploitive, corrupt, intellectually barren shit-hole for hundreds of years before America showed up, and will be the same when America leave. Sunnis and Shiites have been at each other's throats for hundreds of years. The corrupt, and stupid leaders, religious and otherwise, in that region are responsible for their own history. America did not even exist as a country, when what is now called Iraq was having it's bloody history. As Billy Joel sang, "We didn't start the fire. It's allways been burning, since the world was turning"

The Democrats can cut off funding, if they'd like. Then, with America running out of oil, and with an economy entirely dependent on oil, they can watch as America's economy tanks in the next ten years. Then, they can suffer the consequences of being in office, during a severe recession, and being blamed by the public, and consequently thrown out of office, the next election. Go ahead. Cut off funding, Democrats.

Trust me, they won't. They won't because they are not stupid, they know the war is about access to oil, and the American economy is still heavily dependent on the stuff. The Democrats have no intention of committing economic national suicide.

Besides, Americans aren't the only greedy pricks in the world. Should America leave, Iran would be happy to march right in. As you recall, both nations had a war, in the early 1980s, over control of oil. And Iran was happy to put up with losing 1 million troops, in that war. They'd be happy to kill another million, if it meant controlling the world's oil supply. A million dead is not a problem for religious fanatics.

Since Iraq does not have much of an army, it would be an easy victory for Iran. Then Iran, run by religous fruitcakes who would like to murder all 6 million Jews left in Israel, could have access to much of the remaining oil in the world.

Since Iran is already the fourth largest supplier of oil in the world, and Iraq has the third largest supply in the world, (it's probably larger) Iran would control a resource vital to the economy of the entire world, and would have by then several nuclear bombs, in case America wanted to invade, as well.

Iran would have the entire developed First World by the short hairs of their balls, ready to squeeze when needed.

Sarcasm:

So, yeah, Democrats, pull the troops out. That's the ticket. All will be happy, then, and we can all go back to eating cheeze cake and drinking marguaritas, in Los Cabos.

"So, yeah, pull out the funding, for the war. End the war, Democrats. Bring the troops home. Nothing bad will happen. Trust me: We live in a world without complicated, unintended consequences, really we do...har har...in other news, Dorthy is still on the Yellow Brick Road with Toto, and Yogi Bear just stole a pick-a-nick basket from some tourists."

end sarcasm

So, don't get me wrong. I agree with you. You sound like a moral, and noble person. I admire that. Thank God there are people like you in the world. I wish there were more, but I'm afraid there is a severe shortage in the world, or highly moral people. I agree with you that the oil law is horribly exploitive. And my hope is, some day, we may live in a world where that will really matter. Right now, and for the forseeable future, I don't think it does.

5:14 PM  

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